IndicineLBO Update: Industry awaits Baahubali 2 and Half Girlfriend

A lot has changed in the last couple of weeks since our last update. A quick round up:

  • Badrinath Ki Dulhania has emerged as the biggest box office success of 2017. It’s the biggest ROI (return-on-investment) hit of the year and the second highest grosser of 2017 – behind Shah Rukh Khan’s Raees. Our prediction of 115 crore was accurate.
  • Anushka Sharma’s Phillauri struggled at the box office, failing to even surpass her 2015 adult-rated film ‘NH10’. It’ll finish with lifetime business of around 23 crore.
  • Naam Shabana did fairly well in its first weekend, but the trend over the weekend has been poor. Even the Ram Navami holiday hasn’t helped. Reliance Entertainment is likely to┬álose around 30% of their investment on the film.
  • The big news was the clash between Shah Rukh Khan’s untitled film with Imtiaz Ali and Akshay Kumar’s Toilet: Ek Prem Katha. It’s a big weekend but a lot will now depend on the content of the two films.

The big release this month is going to be ‘Baahubali 2’ which is expected to set the all-India box office on fire. A 30 crore plus opening for the Hindi version alone cannot be ruled. A 25 crore plus opening looks almost a certainty at this point in time. We expect ‘Baahubali 2’ to be the first 200 crore grosser of the year. The first film did not get a big initial, but managed to survive the onslaught of even a massive film like ‘Bajrangi Bhaijaan’. If the second part is anywhere close to as good as the first film, ‘Baahubali 2’ will shatter every single existing box office record in India.

The other big release is ‘Half Girlfriend’ in May. The film is based on Chetan Bhagat’s novel, has Mohit Suri as director and the star-cast is good too with Arjun Kapoor and Shraddha Kapoor playing the lead roles. It’s expected to have one of the best music albums of the year, which does add tremendous value to a romantic film. There are other factors in favour of ‘Half Girlfriend’ too; it’s the first major Hindi release after ‘Badrinath Ki Dulhania’, it has a similar release to ‘Tanu Weds Manu Returns’ which also released just before the conclusion of the IPL and the last week before Ramzan should also increase the footfalls of the muslim audience in theatres (like Ek Villain).

Overall, before the Salman Khan juggernaut ‘Tubelight’ towards the end of June – ‘Baahubali 2: The Conclusion’ and ‘Half Girlfriend’ are the two major releases. There’s ‘Raabta’ too. We also have films like ‘Meri Pyaari Bindu’, ‘Sarkar 3’, ‘Noor’, ‘Begum Jaan’ and a few other lined up for release.

MovieDateLBOActual
RaabtaJune 920 crore-
Bank ChorJune 1615 crore-
TubelightEid300 crore-
MomJuly 725 crore-
Jagga JasoosJuly 1455 crore-
Munna MichaelJuly 2175 crore-
MubarakanJuly 2855 crore-
SRK-Imtiaz FilmAug 4145 crore-
Toilet Ek Prem KathaAug 11120 crore-
Bareilly Ki BarfiAug 1820 crore-
HaseenaAug 1820 crore-
A GentlemanAug 2550 crore-
BaadshahoSep 170 crore-
SimranSep 1515 crore-
BhoomiSep 2225 crore-
Judwaa 2Sep 29130 crore-
Secret SuperstarDiwali60 crore-
Golmaal AgainDiwali190 crore-
PadmavatiNov 17170 crore-
Tiger Zinda HaiChristmas330 crore-
Ok JaanuJan 1326 crore20 crore
Jolly LLB 2Feb 10112 crore116 crore
RangoonFeb 2423 crore20 crore
Commando 2 Mar 0325 crore23 crore
Badrinath Ki DulhaniaMar 10115 crore118 crore
PhillauriMar 2428 crore27 crore
Naam ShabanaMar 3130 crore35 crore
Begum JaanApr 1422 crore18 crore
NoorApr 2110 crore8 crore
Sarkar 3May 1216 crore12 crore
Meri Pyaari BinduMay 1218 crore13 crore
Half GirlfriendMay 1960 crore58 crore
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48 Comments

  • Tubelight Will Break ALL records!
    Coming to Rehuma it will end up between 125-135cr which means another Semi Hit and 85cr+ For TEPK will get It Hit Tag!
    Akki is Safe Compared To Srk
    robot 2 will cross 180cr (hindi version) if solo if this happens then 3rd spot belongs to akki and Top 3 will be as follows – SALMAN, Aamir & Akki..

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 65 Thumb down 33
  • Tubelight Will Break ALL records!
    Coming to Rehuma it will end up between 125-135cr which means another Semi Hit and 85cr+ For TEPK will get It Hit Tag!
    Akki is Safe Compared To Srk
    robot 2 will cross 180cr (hindi version) if solo if this happens then 3rd spot belongs to akki and Top 3 will be as follows – SALMAN, Aamir & Akki….

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 35 Thumb down 22
  • Have a feeling that Tubelight is gonna be much bigger than 325… Indo-China war as a Backdrop, Salman playing a Man child , Matin rey tangu (Cute Kid) , Only 3 songs, Kabir khan, breathtaking direction and cinematography, great story and most importantly THE SALMAN KHAN !!!!!

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 54 Thumb down 23
  • Bahubali 2 has insane buzz probably the highest I have seen in the recent years . Although the trailer was not outstanding but Bahubali has gained Cult Status in the last 2 years . Bahubali 2 will emerge as the highest non holiday grosser beating YJHD which has been on the 1st position since 4 years . The teaser of HG was ordinary nothing outstanding . The trailer will be extremely important as this has been the worst novel of Chetan Bhagat according to most of the people . Mohit Suri has a great sense of music which has been seen in A2, Ek Villain, Murder 2, Zeher, Kalyug, Awarapan and Raaz : The Mystery Continues . April will be massive in terms of Box office with Fast 8 and Bahubali 2 .
    According to data on collections of 2017 Kaabil has done 126 CR nett in India . Please reply as soon as possible . !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Popular Thumb up 9 Thumb down 23
  • How can you call tubelight a juggernaut even before its first poster or teaser is out? I know you are salman fan and always save him and try to hype him but that doesnt mean that you go to any extent. You are nothing without people’s support. Its people who have made you what you are. Without our support your site will be shut down and closed. Tubelight is risky venture it can go either way. It will be either a big disaster or a big hit. But calling it a juggernaut is an overstatement.

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  • Eid will save tubelight. In fact sultan was also a disaster had it not been saved by eid holidays, top banner and top actress anushka, as we have seen it with jai ho on non holiday. Big festivals are saving salman who was nothing before 2010.

    Popular Thumb up 28 Thumb down 58
  • @indicine
    i am again informing you
    your current TEPK prediction is going to change in coming days and when you know that TEPK will definitely cross 100cr
    then why did you each time underestimate Akshay kumar.

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 31 Thumb down 21
  • Superb prediction!! In Bahubali 2’s case, if content is loved then 200 cr is sure shot but if it isn’t, things may horribly go wrong like FAN.

    I think your prediction for Half Girlfriend will change to 100 cr+ after release. The only thing worrying about HG is the plot. It isn’t something unique like 2 states, it’s another routine rom-com, so the success would depend on songs and Mohit Suri’s direction.

    170 cr looks bit low for Robot 2. The sequel factor isn’t working for the film but a lot might change once the trailer is out. A film with an impressive star cast, one of the biggest directors in India, AR Rahman (he always delivers his best with director Shankar)big, action sequences involving robotic equipment, etc etc on a weekend like Diwali will be huge. Trust me, the perception will be at a complete different level after the trailer is out.

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 21 Thumb down 3
  • Lol !! There is many here who is saying Salman is saved by eid… Lol apne star ko bachane ke liye kuch bhi keh dete hai, na sir hai na pau, if salman is saved by holiday kick released 5 days before eid, bb released one day before eid, ett 5 days before still collected so much which made it a profitable movies and eid is only for 3 days mostly in muslim areas after that how it earned so much money sultan collected 180 cr in 5 days after then 120 cr came from without holiday which is still more than so called superstar’s movies, if this question came from Aamir fans so i am disappointed because everyone admit his fans has some mind, baaki kisi aur actors ke fans taraf se aaya hai toh they are totally illogical person and jealous because their star failed to achieve this score

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 41 Thumb down 13
  • Baahubali has such incredible buzz that even with negative wom it’d cross 150 crores with Hindi version.

    Half girlfriend would work if the director has made some necessary changes in the story because unlike 2 states the book wasn’t appreciated at all.Such a repetitive and boring novel it was.The music in Mohit’s movies have been amazing.You can hear all those songs and enjoy it even now.

    Tubelight would be the highest grosser of the year and could be Salman’s highest grosser and if TZH manages a solo release then we might be seeing two 300+ crores movie in 2017.The craze for TZH would be something never seen in Indian cinema.

    If srk’s movie manages to cross 150 crores and beats Toilet with a big margin then for sure he’d have a great year with two successful movies despite clash and will remain in Top 3 unchallenged even in his bad phase.If Toilet crosses 100 crores then Akki would be having 6 back to back 100 crores as 2.O is a sureshot blockbuster and with one big grosser next year he could extend his golden run and challenge SRK for the third position.

    JJ looks like an outdated movie now.Not sure whether it will be promoted well.It’s better to release it on YouTube and wait for Salman to revive the career of non actress.

    If Dutt biopic manages to release this year it’d be an interesting battle between the younger generation.Ranveer Ranbir and Varun the only three promising rising stars will be trying to enter the big league with the biggest release of their respective careers.Judwaa 2,Padmavati and Dutt biopic all three has the potential to cross 150 crores.

    For me the most awaited movie undoubtedly is 2.O.Can’t wait it to experience it on the big screen.All existing records in South will be broken by SUPERSTAR.

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 36 Thumb down 1
  • Are you sure indicine aboute the colliction of phillauri it will cross 29 -30 crore and about 55 crore worlwide it’s a success.

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  • @Veer
    No Baahubali will be huge. Content even if average will make it blockbuster at least.

    Robot will be huge in north too. Robot1is very popular in Television. Sequel factor will rock.

    Rehnuma seems to be a semi hit.
    TEPK is a bhakt friendly film, will rock big time!!
    Judwaa2 may cross 150cr.

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 20 Thumb down 6
  • Lol 95 for TEPK? Such good weekend for business + Akshay’s star power will easily get this to 100+ even if turned out an average movie . rustom And housefull 3 already crossed did the same despite being average movies …! So you should use your mind a bit more ..don’t think like a SRK fan !

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 24 Thumb down 9
  • And don’t be unprofessional..BKD hasn’t cross Jolly 2 collections ..so don’t call it 2nd highest grosser already .

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 20 Thumb down 10
  • tepk will cross 100 crore as it will get tax free status and the makers are gearing 4 unique promotional stageis.and 4 rehnuma if the content and the music clicks with audience it can earn 150+.

    my prediction
    rehnuma or ring : 150+
    tepk:120+
    robot2:200+
    tubelight:275+
    bahubali2:200+
    tzh:320+

    Thumb up 15 Thumb down 6
  • Judwa2 will finish below 100..that’s jy prediction.. 90 CR .

    Rehnuma 140? Lol a massy classy entertainer Raaes did only 130 and u expect an imtiaz film to do 140 Clashing with Akshay’s movie ? Sirji apke charan kaha h ??

    Highly rated comment Thumb up 25 Thumb down 15
  • Saif’s Chef Will surprise everyone.. 50+ HIT

    Tubelight:250
    Tizer Zinda h :300+

    For sure Tiger will do more business then Tubelight ..!

    Thumb up 9 Thumb down 14
  • You should also include Dutt as it is still not officially confirmed that it is postponed you cannot just exclude it like this based on your “sources” because your site is known for believing only the officially confirmed news and not a “reliable source’s” news

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