IndicineLBO Update: Badrinath Ki Dulhania awaited, Jagga Jasoos pushed again

Note: IndicineLBO Update will be published every Tuesday.

The period between ‘Jolly LLB 2’ and ‘Badrinath Ki Dulhania’ has been extremely dull for the industry. ‘Rangoon’ sank without a trace and ‘Commando 2’ will also end up losing some of its investment.

It’s time to look ahead to the next few releases..

Badrinath Ki Dulhania (BKD): March is usually a dull period for the industry, but this week’s release featuring two of the most established young stars in the industry, has the potential to set the cash registers ringing.  The industry is confident that the Varun-Alia starrer can surprise and a 90 crore plus total will be well within reach if it opens well. The negatives will be the exam period, the impact of which is extremely difficult to judge. However, unlike most other Dharma films in recent times, BKD reaches out to a larger section of the audience – so if the film does manage to find acceptance, it has the potential to be the much-needed ‘runaway hit’ at the box office, something that every other film this year has failed to do. The added box office interest is to see if Varun Dhawan can continue his winning streak. There’s Alia Bhatt too who was phenomenal in 2016, her presence is certain to give the film a big boost too.

Machine: Abbas-Mustan return with yet another action-love-thriller, in a film that marks the debut of Abbas’ son Mustafa. And even though Salman has quoted the ‘Don’t worry Mustafa..’ song, there’s plenty of reason for Mustafa to worry because the trailer hasn’t really generated wide-spread interest. It’s word-of-mouth dependent and unlike in olden times when films had space to grow, the audience isn’t even giving the ‘routine’ films a chance. If ‘Badrinath Ki Dulhania’ finds acceptance, it could pretty much eat this film up. The only hope is if Mustafa surprises and the film – with the stunning Kiara Advani – turns out to be a good one. The starting level isn’t going to be high (we expect it to fall below 3 crore), which means it needs to show big growth over the weekend and probably collect more than Friday on Monday! Difficult.

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Phillauri: The trailer generated quite a bit of interest, but since then, it’s been downhill for the Anushka Sharma starrer. It’s again one of those word-of-mouth films. Anushka is a top star and Diljit Singh is a superstar in Punjab, but it isn’t the sort of film that appeals to their respective fan-bases. Excellent reviews from the critics and then the push that some films get through social media (Pink, Piku etc) is going to be important.

Naam Shabana: Akshay Kumar’s Baby opened poorly at the box office, so the extension to that film which doesn’t even feature the superstar in the lead – is unlikely to get a big initial. It doesn’t have the credibility of a director like Neeraj Pandey either, but the promos have received a fairly good response. Content is going to be the key, we say that for almost every film, but it’s a lot more important for films that do not get an initial as compared to those that do.

Sarkar 3: If there’s one director in the industry who can really get the ‘dark thriller’ genre right (i.e entertaining and commercially successful), it has to be Ram Gopal Varma.  He’s the master of gangster films too, but the biggest cause of concern is his form. A in-form RGV can deliver a brilliant film, but when he isn’t he can go horribly wrong. ‘Sarkar’ is his biggest franchise, it has a strong-cast led by the legendary Bachchan. The trailer has been received well too. We expect the film to cross the 50 crore mark, a excellent film can take this over 70.

The above films are important for the Hindi film industry, especially the bigger ones like ‘Badrinath..’ and ‘Sarkar 3’. If these two films work along with a couple of others, the Hindi industry will have something to show in the first 3 months before films like ‘Fast and Furious 8’ and ‘Baahubali: The Conclusion’ hit theatres.

Anurag Basu’s Jagga Jasoos has been delayed yet again and it isn’t even complete yet with reshoots taking place recently. There’s been news that the Ranbir-Katrina starrer has been pushed to July, but there’s no confirmation on the release date yet. It went on floors in November 2013  and there have been 5 new release date announcements. The trailer was released in December last year. The audience is quickly losing interest and the product itself is looking stale. This one neither has the kind of promos like ‘Raees’ nor does it have a Shah Rukh Khan to survive such long delays.

MovieDateLBOActual
Jagga JasoosJuly 1457 crore-
Munna MichaelJuly 2150 crore-
MubarakanJuly 2845 crore-
SRK-Imtiaz FilmAug 4130 crore-
Toilet Ek Prem KathaAug 11120 crore-
Bareilly Ki BarfiAug 1820 crore-
HaseenaAug 1816 crore-
A GentlemanAug 2555 crore-
BaadshahoSep 175 crore-
SimranSep 1515 crore-
BhoomiSep 2225 crore-
Judwaa 2Sep 29130 crore-
Secret SuperstarDiwali60 crore-
Golmaal AgainDiwali190 crore-
PadmavatiNov 17180 crore-
Tiger Zinda HaiChristmas275 crore-
Ok JaanuJan 1326 crore20 crore
Jolly LLB 2Feb 10112 crore116 crore
RangoonFeb 2423 crore20 crore
Commando 2 Mar 0325 crore23 crore
Badrinath Ki DulhaniaMar 10115 crore118 crore
PhillauriMar 2428 crore27 crore
Naam ShabanaMar 3130 crore35 crore
Begum JaanApr 1422 crore18 crore
NoorApr 2110 crore8 crore
Sarkar 3May 1216 crore12 crore
Meri Pyaari BinduMay 1218 crore13 crore
Half GirlfriendMay 1960 crore58 crore
RaabtaJune 920 crore21 crore
TubelightEid146 crore125 crore
MomJuly 744 crore-
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51 Comments

  • Dutt not included I know there are strong sources who say that it is postponed but still it is still not confirmed ….




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  • indicine dont underestimate machine it can go upto 300 crores also it can win oscar for best movie it has high chances to be highest grosser of the year




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  • I Think TEKP Movie is Sure shot 100Cr+ and 2.O Can Easily Cross 200cr mark bcoz on that Day when it release Only One MoviE Release which is 2.O




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  • Mark my words badrinath kI dulhaniya is a sure shot flop….hero meets heroine ,hero tries to impress girl with some expressionless acting and remixed pathetic dance sequences .heroine doing some fake nakhre ..but later on agrees to be dulhaniya of hero…now tell wt the hell was tat…will people waste their hard earned money on this…add to acting of alia and varun ….no chance




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  • Only 160 cr for padmavati ??? O_o Why 160 cr ?? Bajirao was -> 370 cr WW and domestic 187 cr with clash ( SRK -Varun – Rohit shetty -Kajol) .. I think Padmini will do much more than that ….




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  • I’m kriti sanon fan but @indicine ur predicting too much for #Raabta i think max 40-45cr lifetime! As off now let’s wait for trailer and songs first.




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  • 1. TZH-330 ( if it will relase solo )
    2. Tubelight- 340
    3. Bahubali – 180
    4. Padmavati-190
    5. Robot-175
    6. Rehnuma-165
    7. Badrinath- 85
    8. Judwaa- 105




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  • And the truth is indicine tries to hide it’s wrong prediction about kaabil and raeees in the name inflation…..😎




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  • GOOD WORK INDICINE…

    TUBELIGHT 325 CRS AS IF NOW AND WILL GROW TO 350 SHORTLY…

    TZH WILL ALSO BE 350….

    LOL EXCEPT SALMAN MOVIES NO MOVIE IS 200 CRS….

    ALL HATERS WILL BURN NOW




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  • If Dutt biopic is releasing in christmas…its difficult for TZH to cross 200cr..coz of clash (want to see clash..coz salman never won a single clash in his life)




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