Box Office Verdict of Dilwale?

Continuation of #AskIndicine QnA. Read More

Q. Though Bajirao Mastani might have won the clash domestically. Still Dilwale is far more profitable than Bajirao. Don’t you think verdict of Dilwale will be same as Bajirao Mastani?

A. Verdicts are confusing these days, not just for the people who follow collections and verdicts, but even for us.. because there are so many factors involved. In today’s times, there is tremendous pressure on websites like us and even trade analysts to be more lenient. Verdicts are no longer strict. Trade analysts like Komal Nahta (Film Information, ETC) used to be very strict when it came to verdicts before, but now even they follow official collections and verdicts. One of the reasons for this is to create perception that a film starring a big actor hasn’t failed and two, there is pressure from fans – which has only increased because of social media.

In olden times, verdicts used to given purely on the basis of recovery of domestic distributors. If that’s the case, Dilwale is a FLOP in India. There are no two ways about this. Shah Rukh Khan sold territories for a high price to distributors and some of them haven’t even recovered half of their investment. Rajasthan distributor, who paid 8.5 crore for the film, will lose about 4.5 crore of his investment. The verdict simply does not matter. The trade knows the truth and that is, Dilwale has failed in the domestic market. The same applies to even a film like Jai Ho.

For Shah Rukh Khan, the producer, Dilwale is a hugely profitable film. The overseas share could be as high as 65 crore plus and that along with satellite rights, he would have recovered his investment. Recovery from domestic, music and everything else are his profits – which all combined could be close to Rs 100 crore. But these profits come at a cost of local distributors suffering huge losses. In other words, Dilwale would have been profitable for Shah Rukh Khan even if it collected 10 crore in India or didn’t release at all.

Since Dilwale has done blockbuster business in the overseas markets, it’s final overall verdict would be Above Average or Semi Hit in the best case.

On the other hand, since you ask about Bajirao Mastani, the film is a profitable venture for everyone involved. No one will lose money. The simple reason for this is, Bajirao Mastani has over-performed both in overseas and domestic markets. It has exceeded expectations wherever it has released. Dilwale has only performed well overseas.

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210 Comments

  • INDICINE EXPLAIN THE EXACT CRITERIA FOR VERDICT….

    WHAT MATTERS DS OR BUDGET ???

    GIVE CLEAR CUT PICTURE FOR DILWALE & BM TERRITORYWISE…

    AND IF EXIBITORS CANT MANAGE SCREENING DURING PROTEST ITS NOT PRODUCERS PROBLEM…AS IN RAJASTHAN TERRITORY LOSS U R SAYING…

  • Salmanfan@ you moron, do not try to be a dumb and an ignorance. It is true that salman is in peak of his career but he is the not biggest superstar now.. again i said he is the not biggest stardom at present. there are two more superstar who is challenging against him. 100cr in 3days but 210cr lifetime.. is this the sign of biggest stardom???. happy new year did the same business a years back. Yes, srk’s dilwale disappoint his fans and all the trade experts but it doesn’t mean his upcoming movies will be crap too. As of now, after i saw teaser, raees and fan can surprise the audience and it has potential to wow even his haters like you also. sometimes failed and sometimes succeeds, this is the part & parcel, cycle of life.

  • why aren’t you above the perception??why does the truth bother you so much??
    what will happen to you if you speak the truth?
    will destiny change for the superstar?? are you the master of destiny?

    do you not owe it to the money paying public? aren’t they your brother and sisters who have the right to be on the side of the truth?
    so what if the film is a flop .whouldnt you have reported right as you wxpect other people to be honest and fought for the truth??

    from the day of the release as I saw it the film was the poorest to have been born out of shettys stable and yet you praised it !! what was your bargain in it? you aren’t even partners!!

  • According to BOI ,budget of # PRDP is 180 crore without salmans renumeration & budget of #dilwale is 100 without shahrukhs renumeration. Will verdict of both not be the same?

  • landing cost: 150cr
    domestic: 129cr* (difficult to reach 150 even if we go with manipulative fig.)

    and films verdicts are highly depend on domestic gross not on how it will performed in overseas so don’t blabber about overseas collections now !!!

    it will FLOP big time… it should be renamed as FlopWale ???

  • @indicine post an article and say Aamir is top srk is all time top and Salman is no bigger star he is flop his movie run bcoz of story and mindless people I love Salman and always love people love him he is criminal don’t know acting and worst actor and star worst performance in tere naam and in dabangg bajrangi bhaijaan

  • To all the dumb nutshells :

    Jai ho : salman khan, no actress, no director, no supporting cast, no music

    Dilwale : SRK, top notch director, best young actor varun(fan following), great supporting cast of boman Irani n sanjay mishra, gud music as well…

    Now u r saying dilwale is like jai ho

    Jai has low budget n less marketed movie of salman khan, even the ticket prices had been kept low by salman himself while dil wale was best marketed movie of 2015 and ticket prices were well high….please make some sense now

  • Ever since Dilwale released, i can see lot of people commenting against it…It seems that they have no other job…I can see people commenting the same bull shit again and again in the same articles just to prove their point..Pity to those people..You can hate SRK, but u cannot ignore some facts

    1) Dilwale is the worst movie from SRK after Ra One..Agreed. But movie quality is subjective and it varies from one to another. There are many people who like to watch a movie like Dilwale which has some good moments and Entertain you for 2.5 hours. To be honest , the movie started really well with those Flash back moments and Kajol’s actual identity scenes…But somehow Rohit Shetty lost the control in the script after Interval. Clearly they were clue less over the Villain and Climax was pathetic. Overall its an average movie with some really good comedy moments in First half and good songs. But people here are commenting as if this is the worst movie in the history of Bollywood. Dilwale will get an Oscar in quality if compared to craps like Jai Ho. So try to see in that way and hope for better movies from Rohit Shetty in the future
    2) Now coming to the Box office point of view, Few people are completely blind i guess as they are simply commenting without checking any fact. Some say Ranveer is a bigger star than SRK..Some Say SRK is finished. Grow Up guys. Dilwale grossed around 300 cr world wide after clashing with BM in India and Star Wars in Overseas. Its not a simple thing. Even in India it will have around 140-145 cr Net . BM grossed more in India mainly becoz it was a better movie and Eros was a better distributer compared to Red Chillies. They actually succeeded in restricting Dilwale in the first weekend by blocking major single screens. If Dilwale was a solo release, it wud have collected 100+ cr easily in first weekend and 150+ cr in first week even in worst case scenario. Apart from that there were lot of Protests which leaded to Cancellation on shows in the crucial first weekend. The Salman and Aamir Fans here are talking becoz they haven’t faced such a situation in the recent times. Aamir Fans knows what happened to Talaash when it was released out side Christmas and same for Salman Fans for Jai Ho…Even with Solo release Jai Ho failed to cross 110 cr and they are mocking SRK for Dilwale which crossed 140 cr with Clash..Lol…
    3) Now coming to Sultan vs Raees Clash , I hope SRK wont shift the release so that these Brainless SRK haters can learn some lessons…In a clash, always content wins…Big movie will take better opening but better movie will eventually collect more..It will happen with any Star….Just imagine PRDP clash with BM during Christmas…I am sure it wont even cross 120 cr in India…Even with Solo release and 4500 screens It couldn’t break HNY opening day record…Now there is no excuse for that as both PRDP and HNY released on the same Holiday with 500 screens less for HNY and lesser ticket Prices. So before commenting nonsense check the facts about the star power of SRK. If Raees and Sultan clash on Eid, then the movie with better content will gross more…And for opening, both movies will be in the same range if screens are same…SRK and Salman has a similar stardom in Mass areas though SRK is a bigger star in Multiplexes.

  • Agree with Indicine, verdicts are now a days not stricts. Whatever the fact is dilwale may be has budget less than BM, but it sold higher prices to distributer just like Jai ho. While BM has higher budget for producers but sold to distributors for reasonal prices. In case of Dilwale Makers made profit and distributer loose while in BM everybody had made profit no matter less or more.
    I think Kank,Mnik were also the films where trade declared them hits because of there overseas business. While we can’t understand why Ra1 declared hit when all distributees in domestic market loose money and distributer share from overseas+domestic were less than 100cr. Lucky srk.

  • @salmanfan 8:17pm : Well said ?… 100 % agree with u… Salman Bhai was by far much bigger and much popular star compared to Srk in whole 1989,-1999 with most no. of Superhits,HGOTD,HGOTY’s he has unparalleled megastardom as compared to Srk… Srk is consistent but he doesn’t have guts to deliver landmark/trend setting cinemas which bhai did with MPK,HAHK,DABANGG,BB… even his milestone movie DDLJ is not even an HGOAT… he ruled Bollywood from 2000-2007… that was his golden era but from 2008 upto now Only Aamir Khan and Bhai are ruling Bollywood and Srk is struggling for 4th spot !!! that’s the truth !!!!

  • @indicine
    1- RCE is distributor of Dilwale … RCE made huge profit…

    2nd – DILWALE Fail in some Market… It is Blockbuster is some Market…

    3 – For big film oversea performance and homeland performance is equal.

    Overall DILWALE is HIT film

  • @ indicine

    Just one question

    If a movie ( DILWALE) budget is 105 crores and its a flop then how a movie (Bajirao Mastani) budget is 130’crore minimum is a Hit with approx equal distributor share in India and far less in Overseas.

    I am waiting for your answer and I have a fair enough knowledge anout trade and verdict and almost follow all the websites including you. Also I am not a SRK fan or anybody fan, I just follow everyone because I am trying to be a Film Analyst.

    Thankyou

  • @mera ghulam:
    First of all PRDP collected 41cr on opening day not 42cr you manipulator.

    Now come to your point. According to PRDP collected 41cr on opening day from 4500 screens with 80-85% occuoancy and higher ticket price is questionable. But hny collected 45cr on opening day from only 4000 screens and lower ticket price with same kind of occupancy is fine!!! You DOUBLE STANDARD ki Dukan chal hattt!!!

  • THIS WAS UR BEST QA sesson..u did some gyan wali baat.
    really informative mainstrem media is so stupid abt films tht today sm of them showing shivay clashing with dangal..
    some says bahubali earn 550cr n bajrangi only 300 cr.
    they need to atleast follow site lk indicine atleast.

  • @indicine is here really necessary 2 take d name of jai ho 2 prove ur point or u r trying 2 consoling srk fans by saying that don’t worry if dilwale failed then salman also failed with dilwale

  • Budjet is 145cr total collection in India 145cr and overseas it will be 135cr so total collection will be 280cr then how can Dilwale will be above average it should be clean Hit even superhit.Even if you take only Distributor share then also it will 72cr in India and 67 so total will be 139 then also it is clean Hit..Only some distributor loss money doest not make movie flop if same goes to Dabang2 and Jai ho then both movie was huge flop because distributor loss money.

  • @indicine is here really necessary 2 take d name of jai ho 2 prove ur point or u r trying 2 consoling srk fans by saying that don’t worry if dilwale failed then salman also failed with jai ho

  • @indicine is here really necessary 2 take d name of jai ho 2 prove ur point or u r trying 2 consoling srk fans by saying that don’t worry if dilwale failed then salman also failed with jaiho
    Plz reply if I m wrong otherwise I vil belive that this is not a Bollywood portal but a srkfan site

  • What is difference between Above Average and Semi Hit?
    BOI don’t use Above Average verdict
    Dilwale should be having same verdict as Jai Ho
    and ya with Dilwale SRK Hit streak finfish?

  • @Indicine Agree …now a days film verdict become controversial …..

    My question is
    Who
    make this subject controversial ? We FANs or u Trade Pandit ?

    Anyone can give answer this question… But need feedback

  • some says aamir is bigger star than srk, lol aamir need good story(3 idiot,dhoom 3, pk) otherwise nobody go & see his movie

  • some people’s here r comparing Jai Ho Vs Dilwale

    *Starcaste: Jai Ho > Dilwale

    *Genre: Jai Ho > Dilwale

    *Budget: Jai Ho > Dilwale

    *Marketings: Jai Ho > Dilwale

    *Ticket Rates: Jai Ho > Dilwale

    *Release Period: Jai Ho > Dilwale

    *Screen counts: Jai Ho < Dilwale

    now In every aspect except Screen counts Dilwale has advantage but it will badly thrashed from here and there… and for those people's who r giving excuses of protests… protests r hardly eat 4-5 cr business, even at the time of Jai Ho MIM members do this type of dramebaazi but only on bhai's shoulder Jai Ho manages to collect 116cr and became Semi hit but when it comes to Dilwale everything about it is huge still underperformed

    ? Jai Ho < FlopWale ?

  • @indicine:
    In one paragraph you said that Aamir is bigger star than Salman in terms of market value. Despite being a Bhai fan I have no problem to accept it.

    In another paragraph you said Dilwale opening is much better than PK’s opening.

    Indirectly you are trying to say that….
    Salman<<<Aamir<<<SRK..

    What a stupid joke!!!!!

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