Box Office Predictions for Dhoom 3 and Krrish 3!

Indicine movie critic and trade analyst Joginder Tuteja answers 5 box related questions from our readers.

Hrithik Roshan - Aamir Khan

Hrithik Roshan – Aamir Khan

What is your box office prediction for ‘Dhoom 3’ and ‘Krrish 3’? I know it’s tough to compare these films but what’s your opinion that which film is gonna do more, even if a little more? – Rakesh

  • As things stand today, ‘Dhoom 3’ would do more than ‘Krrish 3’. Though both franchises are extremely huge in their own right, ‘Dhoom’ as a brand has a better recall value. Moreover Aamir Khan coming together with Yash Raj Films holds an edge as well. Also, the franchise has boasted of much more popular music. On the other hand, the Roshans have taken a huge plunge with ‘Krrish 3’ which is pretty much a calculated gamble. The fact that both films are releasing on a holiday will brighten prospects for both. In any case, as you rightly said, it is tough to compare them as both are all set to enter the 200 crore club.

What would have been the collections of ‘Tere Naam’ (which is considered Salman’s best performance till date with record breaking music) if released today with Salman being the top star? – Arjun Singh

  • ‘Tere Naam’ would have certainly done business of over 100 crores quite comfortably due to his superstar appeal as well as superhit music. However let’s not forget that though the film boasted of a very good performance from Salman, the overall product had seen mixed reactions due to its disturbing content. In fact the dark mood of the film, especially in the second half, would prove to be a little repelling for family audience, something that prevented ‘Agneepath’ too from covering a much greater distance. Hence it safe to presume that ‘Tere Naam’ would have reached around 120 crores but not beyond.

Can ‘Race 2’ become second 100 crores plus movie for John and Jacqueline (after ‘Housefull 2’) and first for Saif, Deepika, Anil and Ameesha? Or will it choke around 90 crores like ‘Talaash’? Both films are thrillers genre. – Rohit

  • As you read this, ‘Race 2’ has already crossed the 90 crores mark (official figure) and is well on it’s way to be a 100 crore success. It would manage to achieve this milestone by end of third weekend, if not end of second week. The film has done what was expected out of it. With this, Saif, Deepika, Anil and Ameesha would find their way for the first time into the 100 crore club while John and Jacqueline would make it two in a row (as a pair) after ‘Housefull 2’.

‘Special 26’ isn’t looking like a 100 crore grosser but do you think that Akshay Kumar’s star-power can still draw crowds to theatres in the opening weekend despite the fact that this will be his sixth film in last 10 months? What sort of business does it need to do to emerge as a clean hit? – Aashish Thappar

  • ‘Special 26’ would take a good opening at the box office though it would be futile to expect anything in the range of a ‘Rowdy Rathore’ or a ‘Housefull 2’. The film can expect overall business on the lines of ‘Oh My God’ since it isn’t one of those quintessential hardcore commercial entertainers in the offering that find audience across age groups, segments and territories. Expect multiplexes to throw better numbers here. It doesn’t matter that ‘Special 26’ would be Akshay Kumar’s sixth release in 10 months. If ‘Once Upon A Time In Mumbaai 2’ were to release today, it would smash the opening record of ‘Rowdy Rathore’.

Joginder Tuteja tweets @tutejajoginder

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73 Comments

  • We can argue which is better but the fact that we r doin it now nd not afta both realeses we can suggest dey will defo cross 200 cr barrier

  • ***What is your box office prediction for ‘Dhoom 3? and ‘Krrish 3?? I know it’s tough to compare these films but what’s your opinion that which film is gonna do more, even if a little more***

    I Don’t buy the comment who has posted that “D3 will do bigger business then K3 – Please read the market before u post a comment”

    If you look at the fact, Dhoom series has lifted their bars only bcoz of Hrithik & i knw for a fact aamir khan is a great actor.

    And also D3 will do a great business but it will not beat K3 for sure.

    Baap n beta will rock & will shatter all the records which is created in past.

    You should have a killer looks & amazing personality to do stylish films, aamir lacks in that area.

    All the best for both the movies, but K3 will be a sure shot winner.

    But i will watch both the movies:)

  • D3 will collect up to 120cr… Just look how talash performed and its a really a big wonder how his fans are saying “we never expected it to do 100cr” OH COMEONU LIERS!!!! Learn to admit something… At the time before JTHJ and after JTHJ u guys were saying its a “MASTER SCRIPT” and it will beat 3i record and blah blah and when there was no buzz before the last week of release u guys started to say it will break JTHJ’s life time record…man seriously u guys r lame…
    Krish3 will break single record at BO and will surly shut the mouths of barking dogs…
    Hrithik rules!!!!

  • @ HR supports,

    I don’t have anything against Hrithik. Why should I? I am a fan of his character in Koi Mil Gaya. One of the best performances in Indian screen.

    Now, as @ Aks said, D2 already had the hype before the release, and also Agneepath had a cult movie status of the original. So, in fact those two should have crossed many milestones, but am sorry it did not.

    Also, agneepath original didn’t have any item song, while Katrina’s chikni chameli was already a rage. So, even after all these support it couldn’t become the biggest blockbuster of last year. So, it did well, but not great.

    Yes, i accept Krrish did good business.

    If Krrish 3 breaks record it is good, why should i hate it. Good story, coupled with good actor’s presence etc., will be able to break the records, but right now when we look at it (with story and other aspects of the movie unknown), it is pitted against three other big movies – D3, Salman’s next , and Akshay’s OUATIM2. I would also count SRK’s movie, though am not too sure it will cross 150 cr +. All i see is it cannot stand a chance atleast against Salman’s movie and D3. It might be third highest grossing, but surprising Race 2 is earning well, so competition has already started.

    Good luck to Hrithik and Roshans.

  • “both D3 and K3 are all set to enter the 200 crore club”
    Tuteja sir did u really meant that?r u really talking about earning 200cr nett domestic or 200cr worlwide?
    The latter one is believable but if the former one become true, that means D3 and K3 will beat ‘Ek tha tiger’ and will be touch&go with 3-idiots. you really think action thrillers like K3 and D3 will have as much repeat value as a comedy-emotion-drama combo of 3 idiots??

  • All Khans are the biggest superstar no one can beat them. Hr beaten them three times but now he never beaten them. My prediction
    1 dhoom 3
    2 chennai express
    3 radhey/mental
    4 OUATIM 2
    5 besaram or rambo rajkumar

  • @Nihal: It was the same atmosphere back when kites was released. Now look at how it bit the dust, atleast aamir’s movie has done more than enough, despite being a suspense thriller.

  • Hrithik is now strugling . Even barfi collect more than agneepath which is multi starrer. Ranbir replace hrithik in ad world and shahid replace hrithik as a stage performer. Hrithik has just one film after k3 if that film fail as ra1.. his career is over career will finish.

    If k3 has good story, music and is entertaining then it will be hit but it can never beat dhoom 3 , chennai express or mental/radhey even ouatim 2 not forget rambo rajkumar is releasing just after 10 days of k3 which is directed by probhudeva and future superstar shahid kapur play the lead role

  • All most hype films disappoint every year like ra1, don 2, jthj and this year no one is even considering chennai express for the highest grosser film of the year but most hype films like k3 & d3 dis being debated by everyone..

    i feel chennai express will surprise this year and the collections will be better than dhoom 3. As my prediction both films will cross 200 crore mark. K3 has no chance. CE will rock….srk will be back. The king khan is always king in overseas

  • @raj, in ur dreams dude lol try INCEPTION !! chennai express may b a blockbusters in ur dream within a dream bt nt in real lyf !

  • @sid n nihal, completely agree wid u dudes !! @JC, thank u fr ur support !! @aks, u r underestimating hrithik dude, hrithik in commercial avatar is d mst fatal weapon in whole of bollywood ! he is future man, its his destiny, he has alld talents ! fr agneepath u shud remember, it had lesser no. of screens dan all oder 100 cr grossers RR,ETT,JTHJ,barfi etc ! secondly it had long duration, so lesser no. of screenings per day, heavy gore n violence , so a section of audience didn’t go fr it !! due to dese factors agneepath’s collections were limited, atleast 10-15 more crores it cud hav made !

  • to all insecure ppl, if u all think sanjay dutt,abhishek bachchan, aishwarya rai etc r so responsible fr dhoom 2 n agneepath success den y cnt their solo fims do well ??? abhishek nvr evr had any big solo film, so crediting him fr D2 jst shows ur insecurity dat u cnt digest hrithik being on top ! sanjay dutt gav series only flops except agneepath n SOS(wich is again ajay devgn’s film) so bttr think b4 u all speak ! i knw u all r finding it difficult to digest bt dnt wry in future , its HRITHIK only…..KRRISH 3, BANG BANG, PAANI each n evry film is different n too high profile !!

  • @ask..only reason agneepath collect huge because its violence and blood in the film..most family audience with children stay away from this film..agneepath is not a comercial ententainer for family audience

  • i really wanted to know the story of krishh 3 ..i heard it is about love of animal of human being..i really wanted to know what is the story of krishh3…i dont wanted to know about dhoom3 because except hrithik roshan there is nothing in dhoom series…dhoom was just manege hit status with collection below 30 cr….indicine plz post the story of dohhm 3 and when its trailer release

  • i think k3 will set new standard in bollywood
    aamir can never beat hrithick
    compare fanna n krissh
    both were released at d same time
    n result u all know
    k3 will b biggest blockbuster in Indian cinema history

  • Dhoom 3 may disappoint because it has old, short, non-charismatic Aamir Khan in it. Andd his previous film Talaash was not even hit. Hrithik was the man who made Dhoom a huge franchise with his charisma, act, dance skills and awesome physique. Krissh 3 had lot of potential but only the Diwali date might prove impediment in shattering records. Hrithik is dynamite and better than stout, ageing, botoxed Aamir.

    If at all, Dhoom does 200 crore it will be due to Christmas date, Dhoom brand and Katrina Kaif. Aamir couldn’t even get 100 crore with solo starrer Talaash and always depends on multistarrers.

  • @suman Lol, you want to know the story of Krrish 3 then watch the first two movies as theres a big clue in there as to where this franchise is heading!!!
    Its a superhero movie so its gonna be an ‘out of this world’ experience. Thats the beauty of these superhero type movies. Never seen before action sequences and extravagant picturisation. Thats what works well in its favour.
    As for Dhoom- it needs a good script to obtain repeat value and to get initial interest from masses its gonna need new Action Sequences and chartbuster music. Aamir will work wonders for the film in both regards, hes a great crowd puller with innovative marketing techniques. And secondly Im sure he will have alot of input in the script/story telling, so from that angle that Im certain the film will bring back the repeat audiences.
    Both films will break records. First K3 during Diwali Holidays and then D3 will break those records during Christmas Holidays.

  • predicting d success of k3 n d3 even bfor theirs trailes release..i think its nonsense.1st comparison should b on the basis of trailers.

  • @Raj: there there calm down, will ya? you say he’s king in overseas, but what about in india? I’ll let you answer that because i don’t want to disappoint you!!

  • KRRISH 3 PREDICTION
    if film liked by every one,then

    NOV.1 FRI= 25 crs (working day and dhan teras)
    NOV.2 SAT= 30 (choti diwali)
    NOV.3 SUN=25 (diwali)
    1st WEEKEND = 80
    NOV 4 MON=35 (holiday)
    NOV 5 TUE=25 (bhai duj holiday in some places so less drop in collection)
    NOV 6 WEN=17
    NOV 7 THU=16

    1 WEEK=173

    NOV 8 FRI= 14
    NOV 9 SAT=17
    NOV 10 SUN=22
    2ND WEEKEND=53
    NOV 11 MON= 10
    NOV 12 TUE=9
    NOV 13 WED=8
    NOV 14 THU=8 (MUHARAM And children day)

    2ND WEEK=88

    if imran khan film only releasing nov 15 then krrish 3 domimate singal screen because this film for multiplex audience and if krrish 3 releasing in 3D then more chances to dominate in multiplex.so that means krrish 3 dominate 3rd week also
    and on Nov 15 their will be no clash b/w imran and shahid .only one film is going to release that day.
    if shahid film only releasing nov 15 than it will give tough fight to krrish 3 because of mass flick

    3rd FRI=5crs
    3rd SAT=6crs
    3rd SUN=8crs
    3rd WEEKEND 19crs
    3rd MON=3.5crs
    3rd TUE=3.1crs
    3rd WEN=2.7crs
    3rd THU=2.3crs
    3rd WEEK=30crs

    4th FRI=1.5crs
    4th SAT=2crs
    4th SUN=2.5crs
    4th WEEKEND=6crs
    and remaing week=5crs

    TOTAL collection = 302crs

    krrish 3 not going to get negative reviews like kites.
    if film is getting average response, then collection will like this
    nov 1-25crs
    nov 2-28
    nov 3-20 (sunday diwali day film will be affected by pooja).

    1st weekend-73crs
    nov 4-28 crs (holiday)
    nov 5-13crs (50% drop)
    nov 6-12crs
    nov 7-11crs

    1st week=137crs
    2nd fri – 9crs
    2nd sat- 10crs
    2nd sun – 12crs
    2nd weekend-31crs
    2nd mon-5crs
    2nd tue-4
    2nd wen-3
    2nd thu-3 (childrens day)
    2nd week=46
    3rd weeks=13crs
    4th week =5crs total=137 46 13 5=201crs

    but one thing is for sure, Krrish 3 will cross 200 crores.

  • @kirankg man you seriously need a mental checkup.. 53 crores in second weekend??? and 80 crores first weekend?? and, even after that, 35 crores on day 4?? first 7 days of 173 crores???

    What you have predicted for average content, it will only happen if WOM is very positive.

  • @akash
    What I just said above,
    if film responds is good then
    krrish 3 easly collect above 50crs In 2nd weekend.in 2nd week no other film is releasing.
    for your kind information krrish 3 releasing nearly 4000 screen.
    in 2009 3idiots collected 78crs in 1st week, 52 crs in 2nd week just in 1800 screens drop less than 50% from 1st week.
    krrish 3 releasing double prints than 3 idiots.
    and what u said 1st weekend 80crs.
    dabanng 2 and krrish 3 releasing on working day.
    Dabanng 2 collected 21crs in first day from 3500 screen
    and krrish 3 releasing nearly 4000 screen .500 screen more than dabanng 2.so it can easily collect 4 crs more than dabanng 2.that means 25crs in 1st day.
    2nd nov saturday is holiday
    (chotti diwali) so it collect 5crs more from first day.
    diwali on sunday, so collection will effect at night.then it collect 5crs less than from saturday.
    then total will be 80crs.
    If diwali is not on sunday krrish will collect above 35crs.in 4th day monday (next day of diwali hoilday in all india)
    example-ra one released on wensday (diwali) collected-15crs
    and next day of diwali it collected 25crs .jump of 10crs from 3000 screen.
    and krrish 3 releasing 4000 screen so it can easily collect above 30crs on 4th day.
    Now a days if film collecting 3o crs on holiday.next day on working day it will collect half of it.
    @akash i hope u will understand this.
    if you r not understand means ,then mark my words u will get answer this diwali.

  • There are movies that has star power – like that for Salman, SRK and Aamir.

    The star power can stretch the movie to get good collections till the first 10 days.

    It also depends on how much star power.

    At present Salman can stretch the star power to few more extra days, SRK comes second and Aamir third. (hence, here content for Aamir is important to topple srk and sallu, but it content is stronger for sallu and srk and no one can touch them)

    Rest others, Akshay, HR, Ajay, Ranbir etc., have star power that can only take for 3 days – fri, sat and sun, and in special cases like extended weekend due to holidays.

    So, all these second level stars need very good content or strike a chord with moviegoers that the word of mouth takes it to the second and third week.

    Hence, with that in mind, and also none of the movies released so far, “at the moment” we can safely say that the order would be this :

    1) Salman’s next
    2) D3 or Chennai Express
    3) OUATIM2
    4) K3

    Salman’s next could go down to second, but for that to happen the content of D3 and Chennai Xpress should be better. The rest of the order doesn’t look like changing, as of now.

  • @akash
    now a day if film like dhoom 3 and krrish 3 geting good response it will collect 250 and 300crs.in 2009 3idiots collected 202crs from 1800 screen.
    and krrish 3 and dhoom 3 releasing 4000 screen.
    dabangg 2 and ek tha tiger got mixed review then also both movie collected above 150crs.dabanng 2-160crs
    and ek tha tiger- 199.5 crs
    if dhoom 3 and krrish 3 getting mixed responds then also they will cross 200crs.
    its a common sense yaar….

  • You are worng k3 has no chance to cross 200crore if the film is good, entertaing whatever the screen the film is dificult to crorse 150 crore as it release in a non holidy and after 10 days of its release shahid karena will clash on 14 november which become a great contorversy. If the film get -ve reviews than dificult to recover its budget like KITES which is also most hyped spanish actress 3 roshens. Hritick never beat khans.

  • Chennai express has golden chance to cross 200 crore not only for srk but also for rohit shetty whose last 3 films releasing non holiday but also cross 100 crore. Chennai express releasing this dushra where the films get 4 day holiday in a week and 2nd friday also a holiday. There are no film relesing this time sothat ce get three weeks free run and there will be no clash like jthj. CE is a comedy/romance/action a complete masala film. Only mass and class oriented films join 200 crore club and decleard attb. K3 is a class oriented film althoug it get good review and opening it has no chance whatever the screen like ra1,ett,dabangg 2. Dhoom 3 has a chance due to its franchisis and christmas holiday.

  • @kirankg, yeah u r ryt buddy ! @JC, hrithik has beaten d khans tym n again n aftr krrish 3 n bang bang, he vl completely overtake dem !! u knw y ?? coz hrithik is mch more talented dan khans ! talent is d key to success !! @raj, lol u suck !

  • Raj,before watching CE u r in dream it will cross 200crs.
    if CE geting good responds then it will collect max 170 to 180 crs.
    if geting mixed review then it will not cross 150 also.
    u keep dream …

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