Agneepath HIT or FLOP: Box office Prediction

With exactly a week to go for the release of Agneepath, it’s time for some box-office predictions. For few who are still unaware, Agneepath directed by Karan Malhotra is the remake of Amitabh Bachchan’s 1990 classic. The film, produced by Karan Johar under the Dharma Productions banner, stars Hrithik Roshan, Priyanka Chopra, Sanjay Dutt and Rishi Kapoor.

We have always strongly believed that a Hrithik Roshan film with mass-appeal, is guaranteed to open to a huge response at the box-office. Almost all of his commercial entertainers like Dhoom 2 and Krrish opened to record-breaking numbers. Even Kites, which is one of his biggest flops, had a good initial weekend. 

Coming back to Agneepath, the film’s USP is Hrithik Roshan and the item number by Katrina Kaif. The buzz is strong and the music is a hit. Also the fact that the last biggie (Don 2) released more than a month back, should help Agneepath. The only concern? Some of the trailers were dark and intense, with a bit of blood, gore and violence too. Will the family audiences stay away?

Below is our box-office HIT or FLOP prediction for Agneepath

IF GOOD (positive word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 15 crores
  • Weekend – 60 crores (4 days)
  • Weekdays – 25 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 85 crores (8 days)
  • Final – 140 crores+

IF AVERAGE (mixed word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 15 crores
  • Weekend – 56 crores (4 days)
  • Weekdays – 20 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 76 crores (8 days)
  • Final – 115 crores

IF BAD (negative word-of-mouth)

  • Day 1 – 13 crores
  • Weekend – 44 crores (4 days)
  • Weekdays – 12 crores
  • Week 1 Total – 56 crores (8 days)
  • Final – 75 crores

HIT or FLOP Prediction: The opening will be good, if not great. The initial weekend itself should recover most of the film’s investment. How big a HIT the film can go on to be, would then depend on word-of-mouth and how well it manages to sustain during the weekends. We think Agneepath has a good chance to attain HIT status.

What do you think? Tell us in the comments section below.

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80 Comments

  • All time blockbuster for sure..Agneepath will break all records of box office..Hrithik performance will be a mind blowing..Hrithik rockss..

  • agneepath will be a hit and there will be obvious comparisons between hrithik and amitabh, if hrithik manages to pull his role nicely then the film has the chances of being superhit.

  • Wo,I’m surprise that if positive then 140+cr.I don’t think so.
    Because stardom is very important.hrithik is not equal to 3 Khans.
    3 Khans are from A+ list actors.hrithik is A list actor.

    The great example of stardom are below,
    Ajay’s singham received highly positive but just 97cr. What the hell!
    SRK’s Ra.one received few negative then collected surprise 120cr.

    Therefore stardom is important and I don’t care agneepath will release more
    than 2500 screens because occupancy will not high like 90-100%.
    Players released 2000 screens and just collected 21cr with low stardom.

  • And I forget that original 1990 film was flopped. How is this possible
    new film will be huge hit?film will grand opening then slow on the boxoffice and finished to
    90-100 cr.

  • @chandu,hey if u think only 3 khans r a+ then its ur opinion,HR also a+ star,u will get idea on 26th.ra one collection because of holidays.jst wait and watch

  • those who r saying that Agneepath will be flop… Must have lost their minds!! Oh hello!! First open your ears well and mark my words AGNEEPATH WILL BE ALL TIME BLOCKBUSTER
    abitna jalna hai JALTE raho… Hrithik is the best :) it will definitely surpass 150 crore mark… Jiyo Duggu!!

  • Ok Lest’s Talk about real facts the Agneepath the remake,Original was a Flop…Now..the story is not new and it’s very ordinary …And Hritik is not Salman that the movie will get 15 + cr first day…

    Now,Why Agneepath is a Risky movie in the terms of business:-

    1.The remakes and that too of Mr.Amitabh Bacchan is always risky as u r bound to be compared with him and also people already know the story so less excitement and hype and moreover the original Agneepath was a below average movie check wiki.

    2.The songs and packaging need to be perfect to attract the audience and so far Chikni Chameli is the only song which stands out,even its not munni or shila but average song and the promos looks very predicting…less promotion can also harm.

    3.Performances of leading actors needs to be very good to have repeat audience..Hritik is an excellent actor but in promos he seems to be overdone..we hardy see priyanka ..the only saving grace is Sanjay Dutt who looks fab and promising too..but overall low in substance.

    4. The movie will be surrounded by few other releses like Players ,3 bachelors before 26th and ek main aur ek tu,gali gali main chor hain on early feb will only give it a 10 days of clear run at the box office so its need to utilise those days and it the critics paned the movie then even worst(we have seen in 2011 what negative publicity can do)

    5.the budget is 60-70 cr so it needs minimum of 80-90 cr to be called a Hit and 125 cr for Superhit/blockbuster …so it has to take a huge opening and 50 cr plus weekend to collect its money also it needs to sustain in week days for atleast 1o days with minimum collection of 20 cr then then 10 days total would ne 70 cr the budget and then it needs to sustain very well to make profit or to be called a hit adding atleast another 20 cr(which looks difficult as “ek main aur ek tu” is targeting youth and family and Agneepath has Action gener which has limited audience).

    So,the over collection of Agneepath should be, If Excellent 120-130 Max , If very good 100-115 cr , If good 90-110 cr , If average 75-90 cr and if Mixed/Bad 65-80 cr max. :)

  • I think it will be touch and go 100cr ..if its avg..
    and 120cr if its good..

    It should do worlwide business..of 185Cr ..like ready..

  • every one is saying the film promo is excellent so it will take huge opening, same thing was said about don 2 but it didnt come near to bodyguard, when i saw bodyguards and ra ones trialer i was very excited to watch the film but with don 2 and agneepath my excitement level is not tht great, yes it has one good song still i think it wont cross 13 crores, my prediction is day 1 = 13 crs, weekend(4days)=53.50 crs, life time net = 92 crs and i think movie will have mixed response from public

  • @chandu:u r talkin abt hrithik star power ???most of his previous films hav taken record openings…wtf u r talkni abt salman…go n check his records b4 release of wanted…luk @ his last 10 yrs…he doesnt even stand near hrihtik roshan…bloody fck..he iz jus too lucky..he doesnt knw acting but still his muvies are gettin hit…he iz more of a comedian tahan a actor..

  • Agneepath surely is gonna be a blockbuster, will make 150crore+. Hrithik is a superstar and one of the best talents bollywood have produced in this millenium. Having won 4 filmfare awards for best actor and numerous others testify his acting prowess and as far as boxoffice is concerned, check this out, many of you will be amazed:

    Year 2000: Kaho Naa pyar hai: Highest grossing fillm of the year; all the three khans had releases.
    Year 2003: Koi mil gaya: Highest grossing film of the year.
    Year 2006: Dhoom 2 and krrish: Highest grossing films of the year. All are blockbusters by BOI. you can confirm from their website: http://www.boxofficeindia.com/

  • @chandu

    Dear chandu RA.ONE didn’t recieve few negativity, negativity around RA’ONE Was much higher than any other film.

  • if good weekend 70cr,total 150cr,if average like don2 weekend 55cr,total 105cr,if bad like raone weekend 48cr,total 78cr,if like kites weekend 40cr total 60cr.

  • i think hritik roshan is not huge superstars like 3 khAns and also not much popular in mass areas.
    and sanjay dutt looks more impressive than hritik in the film.if you want to put 20+ crore opening then it is impossible to hritik(only possible to sAlman)

    my pediction-
    first day 14-15 crore
    second day 12-13 crore
    third day 12-13 crore
    fouth day 16-17 crore

    weekwnd 54-56 crore

    week 75-80 crore

    lifetime 100-110 crore

    stAtus-hit

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