3 Idiots : Box office prediction

Less than a week to go for the release of 3 Idiots and the hype is surprisingly missing this time around, or is it? Directed by Rajkumar Hirani, 3 Idiots starring Aamir Khan, Kareena Kapoor, Madhavan, Sharman Joshi and Boman Irani, is by far the biggest release of the year.

Expecting the movie to break Ghajini’s record is unfair, since 3 Idiots doesn’t really carry mass appeal of a Ghajini or a Wanted, and is expected to perform much better at multiplexes than single screens. Yet, we expect a film starring Aamir Khan to easily break opening week and weekend records, currently held by Love Aaj Kal, for the year.

Here’s our prediction, do post your’s below in the comments section.

  • Preview shows – 1.5 crores
  • Day 1 – 8.5 crores
  • Day 2 – 9 crores
  • Day 3 – 11 crores
  • Weekend (including preview shows) – 30 crores
  • Week 1 (with positive reports) – 48 – 50 crores
  • Week 1 (with mixed response) – 45 – 48 crores
  • Week 1 (with negative reports) – 42 – 45 crores
  • Lifetime (positive) – 90 – 95 crores
  • Lifetime (mixed) – 75 – 78 crores
  • Lifetime (negative) – 65 – 68 crores

Will James Cameron’s Avatar, with a super strong opening and positive reports all over India affect the opening of 3 Idiots and eat into the number of shows at multiplexes? It just might!

 

Comments

unknown:  (December 19, 2009 at 11:45 am)

This is wat i was waiting for.yap,indicine it will be very hard to break ghajini record.but hoping for another dhamaka x-mas……..:-)

 
unknown:  (December 19, 2009 at 11:59 am)

btw the new promo of 3idiots is simply brilliant.wat do u think indicine?

 
amish:  (December 19, 2009 at 12:04 pm)

The latest promo looks very promising…:) can be d first n last BB of 2009..;)
Avatar s runnin to packed houses mainly in 3D screens so it shud not eat up any other screens..;)
Multiplexes r said to be givin 3I much more screens than ghajini so d lower single screen business(if at al) shud not affect it.

But wateva we say here d content s d key so Zip up urself til d movie s released..;)

 
ADITYA:  (December 19, 2009 at 12:08 pm)

3 idioits is going to be the biggest flop of 2009……..
it will be more disatorus movie than blue……
AMIR KHAN SUCKSSSSSS

 
unknown:  (December 19, 2009 at 12:25 pm)

@amish,agree with u.content is the main hero of any film.

 
rex:  (December 19, 2009 at 12:29 pm)

3 idiots will b superhit, but not blockbuster.

 
pawan:  (December 19, 2009 at 12:36 pm)

3 idiots surely be a blockbuster

 
sudeep:  (December 19, 2009 at 12:41 pm)

It wil not break the ghajjni record but Its latest promo look very promising!!!!!May be 1st blockbuster of the year

 
FullerMat:  (December 19, 2009 at 1:06 pm)

I will be very surprised if the opening week collections do not top 50+… but am wondering if Avatar will have any impact on 3I.

 
aman:  (December 19, 2009 at 1:12 pm)

this movie is not gonna open that big but will succed
first week collection wont be more then 40-42 crore

 
dEV:  (December 19, 2009 at 1:20 pm)

The hype is not there and u urself said it doesnt have a mass appeal like ghajini or wanted then how can u say that even with negative reports it will make 65-68 crore no wayyyyyyyy

just wait and watch u all will be surprised but not me

 
Amit singhania:  (December 19, 2009 at 1:59 pm)

Friday 10 11 12 6 5 4 7 first week 55cr

 
Indicine Team:  (December 19, 2009 at 2:45 pm)

Amish, Avatar is running on few 3D screens (about 50 in major cities). It has released on more than 700 screens and business is strong almost everywhere.

 
unknown:  (December 19, 2009 at 2:56 pm)

1st week will be around to 48-54 core i think.

 
amish:  (December 19, 2009 at 2:56 pm)

^ but Indicine those who watched it on 2D have not enjoyed it much.. and mostly i feel its bcoz of 1200cr which s doin d trick. i cant comment much bcoz have not watched it. watz ur opinion regardin Avatar?

 
KING:  (December 19, 2009 at 3:12 pm)

Indicine can u post avatar’s review and collections

 
Anonymous:  (December 19, 2009 at 3:18 pm)

What is the budget of 3 idiots? How much does it need to net to be considered a superhit? what about to be considered a blockbuster?

 
Punter:  (December 19, 2009 at 3:20 pm)

i think reduce 2.5 to 3 crores from first weekend prediction. that will be more realistic figures

 
nauman:  (December 19, 2009 at 5:53 pm)

my prediction is
thursday preview 1 cr
friday 8 cr
sat 8 cr
sun 9 cr…. 1st weekend 25 cr – 26 cr
rest of 4 days add 18 cr more
so 1st week near to near to 44 cr – 46 cr
2nd week 20 cr
3rd week 5 cr
4th week 5 cr
life time near to 75 cr – 80 cr
sure shot superhit
ghajini got 5 days weekend so it got 60 cr in its 1st week but 3 Idiots is releasing on friday so 1st week cant be like ghajini , but movie can sustain in 2nd week and in 3rd week new movie pyar impossible is coming which will attract youth and next week 15 jab chance pe dance and shahid is in form actor after kaminay. so 3 idiots has only 2 full weeks for work but ghajini had 3 weeks so it reached more then 100 cr another disadvantage is Avatar … Avatar is house packed and creating good records in india and overseas as well .
so my final prediction is
75 cr india
15 cr overseas
by the way is sydney 3 idiot is releasing on 24th thursday i m not sure abt timming yet so when i ll get the timming i ll tell u that what time i can watch it and what time i can put my review on this page.

 
nauman:  (December 19, 2009 at 6:23 pm)

amish:
i confermed that 3 I is releasing here on thursday , good news for us , Ratvika where r u ?? r u watching 3I on thursdsay ? i m not sure abt new castle coz greater unions cinema is showing only in brisbane , in sydney hoyts cinema is showing 3I, do u hv any branch of hoyts in new castle ???

 
 

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