3 Idiots : Box office prediction

Less than a week to go for the release of 3 Idiots and the hype is surprisingly missing this time around, or is it? Directed by Rajkumar Hirani, 3 Idiots starring Aamir Khan, Kareena Kapoor, Madhavan, Sharman Joshi and Boman Irani, is by far the biggest release of the year.

Expecting the movie to break Ghajini’s record is unfair, since 3 Idiots doesn’t really carry mass appeal of a Ghajini or a Wanted, and is expected to perform much better at multiplexes than single screens. Yet, we expect a film starring Aamir Khan to easily break opening week and weekend records, currently held by Love Aaj Kal, for the year.

Here’s our prediction, do post your’s below in the comments section.

  • Preview shows – 1.5 crores
  • Day 1 – 8.5 crores
  • Day 2 – 9 crores
  • Day 3 – 11 crores
  • Weekend (including preview shows) – 30 crores
  • Week 1 (with positive reports) – 48 – 50 crores
  • Week 1 (with mixed response) – 45 – 48 crores
  • Week 1 (with negative reports) – 42 – 45 crores
  • Lifetime (positive) – 90 – 95 crores
  • Lifetime (mixed) – 75 – 78 crores
  • Lifetime (negative) – 65 – 68 crores

Will James Cameron’s Avatar, with a super strong opening and positive reports all over India affect the opening of 3 Idiots and eat into the number of shows at multiplexes? It just might!

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85 Comments

  • This is wat i was waiting for.yap,indicine it will be very hard to break ghajini record.but hoping for another dhamaka x-mas……..:-)

  • The latest promo looks very promising…:) can be d first n last BB of 2009..;)
    Avatar s runnin to packed houses mainly in 3D screens so it shud not eat up any other screens..;)
    Multiplexes r said to be givin 3I much more screens than ghajini so d lower single screen business(if at al) shud not affect it.

    But wateva we say here d content s d key so Zip up urself til d movie s released..;)

  • 3 idioits is going to be the biggest flop of 2009……..
    it will be more disatorus movie than blue……
    AMIR KHAN SUCKSSSSSS

  • I will be very surprised if the opening week collections do not top 50+… but am wondering if Avatar will have any impact on 3I.

  • The hype is not there and u urself said it doesnt have a mass appeal like ghajini or wanted then how can u say that even with negative reports it will make 65-68 crore no wayyyyyyyy

    just wait and watch u all will be surprised but not me

  • Amish, Avatar is running on few 3D screens (about 50 in major cities). It has released on more than 700 screens and business is strong almost everywhere.

  • ^ but Indicine those who watched it on 2D have not enjoyed it much.. and mostly i feel its bcoz of 1200cr which s doin d trick. i cant comment much bcoz have not watched it. watz ur opinion regardin Avatar?

  • What is the budget of 3 idiots? How much does it need to net to be considered a superhit? what about to be considered a blockbuster?

  • my prediction is
    thursday preview 1 cr
    friday 8 cr
    sat 8 cr
    sun 9 cr…. 1st weekend 25 cr – 26 cr
    rest of 4 days add 18 cr more
    so 1st week near to near to 44 cr – 46 cr
    2nd week 20 cr
    3rd week 5 cr
    4th week 5 cr
    life time near to 75 cr – 80 cr
    sure shot superhit
    ghajini got 5 days weekend so it got 60 cr in its 1st week but 3 Idiots is releasing on friday so 1st week cant be like ghajini , but movie can sustain in 2nd week and in 3rd week new movie pyar impossible is coming which will attract youth and next week 15 jab chance pe dance and shahid is in form actor after kaminay. so 3 idiots has only 2 full weeks for work but ghajini had 3 weeks so it reached more then 100 cr another disadvantage is Avatar … Avatar is house packed and creating good records in india and overseas as well .
    so my final prediction is
    75 cr india
    15 cr overseas
    by the way is sydney 3 idiot is releasing on 24th thursday i m not sure abt timming yet so when i ll get the timming i ll tell u that what time i can watch it and what time i can put my review on this page.

  • amish:
    i confermed that 3 I is releasing here on thursday , good news for us , Ratvika where r u ?? r u watching 3I on thursdsay ? i m not sure abt new castle coz greater unions cinema is showing only in brisbane , in sydney hoyts cinema is showing 3I, do u hv any branch of hoyts in new castle ???

  • @indicine

    please start a disussion for AVATAR movie, since I have seen the movie and want to know how other indicine followers feel abt it

  • 3I–collections will be–

    paid previews-0.5-0.75 crores

    friday- 7-7.5 crores

    saturday- 8.25 crores

    sunday-4.00 crores due to IND vs SRILANKA ckt match in Delhi…..

    weekdays-18 crores

    thus…
    1st week—38-39 crores

    life time 57.0–60.0 crores

    box-office verdict–above average/semi hit becoz was sold for whooping 94 crores excluding music rights to big Pictures…..

  • Avatar collects US $ 3.5million on its first friday in US and canada.
    Twilight-New moon had collected US $ 26.3million on its first friday. nw wer s d comparison…

  • I think that Ghajini’s box-office performance in India has been quite unprecedented and neither
    3 idiotsnor MNIK will be able to break it.I disagree with the Indicine team that the hype is missing.
    3 idiots has been eagerly anticipated by everybody for the last 1 month and the promos(specially
    last one)have mostly been appreciated.In India,Avatar might not affect 3i that much becoz Avatar
    is a movie that is more enjoyable on 3D screens.Overseas,Avatar will affect business but then 3i
    was never expected to perform outstandingly overseas.I shall probably go with Indicine’s figures
    for the performance in India.

  • @amish:u said ppl dono enjoy AVATAR in 2d…but sorry to say i enjoyed …Its a movie in a long decade…In 1990s…it was titanic n now 2000s ts avatar….What a movie! James cameran is sure the master of cinema !!its pure unbelievable imagination…I would give 5/5 !!!!! U say $3.5 million???no,its 75 million US $ gross in 1 day n abt twilight-new moon it was 26 million US $ ….

    If anyone has not watch AVATAR plz go n watch…It surely is best movie after titanic for me!! EVEN Rajeev mashad give this movie 5/5 and this time i m with tht fellow

  • 3 idiots good start in multipleax
    low start in single sceren avatar hold multipleax and single sceren 2nd week
    i expect 1 week 38cr-40cr
    life time 65cr-70cr

  • 3 idoits will be a blockbuster for
    i have watched the new trailor of 3 idoits of 3 mins, it was superb, the dialogue delivery of aamir khan was superb and the best song of 3 idoits is give me some sunshine, it is a superb song………..

  • @Sudeep–nw u need not be sorry to say u enjoyed it..;) ha ha… have not watched d movie so cant comment on it. my frnds watched it on 2D n said it was not great may be as u said a pure” unbelievable” imagination tats wy… and regardin 3.5mill US $ tat was from buzz18..;)

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